Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.205752 0.218926 0.232737 0.248335 0.265510 0.283900 0.305151
2025-04-13 0.173453 0.192265 0.213224 0.238497 0.268401 0.302987 0.346504
2025-04-20 0.157407 0.179967 0.206308 0.239775 0.281819 0.333813 0.404514
2025-04-27 0.147076 0.172363 0.203029 0.243727 0.297559 0.368243 0.471607
2025-05-04 0.137715 0.164572 0.198146 0.244323 0.308109 0.396343 0.534160
2025-05-11 0.129166 0.156812 0.192239 0.242435 0.314385 0.418568 0.591364
2025-05-18 0.121711 0.149742 0.186427 0.239759 0.318742 0.437936 0.647056
2025-05-25 0.114344 0.142196 0.179275 0.234332 0.318127 0.449139 0.690679
2025-06-01 0.108675 0.136524 0.174203 0.231303 0.320556 0.465112 0.745540
2025-06-08 0.103958 0.131832 0.170120 0.229268 0.324117 0.483126 0.807810
2025-06-15 0.101276 0.129766 0.169566 0.232386 0.336102 0.517094 0.910149
2025-06-22 0.096816 0.124936 0.164674 0.228345 0.335651 0.528398 0.966585
2025-06-29 0.091652 0.118961 0.157920 0.221123 0.329488 0.528971 1.000897
2025-07-06 0.086919 0.113434 0.151602 0.214254 0.323463 0.529351 1.036105
2025-07-13 0.084700 0.111462 0.150514 0.215797 0.332562 0.561207 1.161697
2025-07-20 0.083129 0.110349 0.150646 0.219324 0.345627 0.603513 1.333174
2025-07-27 0.080975 0.108253 0.149115 0.219878 0.353089 0.635016 1.487548
2025-08-03 0.078490 0.105542 0.146461 0.218272 0.356135 0.657021 1.622267
2025-08-10 0.076025 0.102757 0.143542 0.215981 0.357549 0.675425 1.754327
2025-08-17 0.073217 0.099338 0.139447 0.211320 0.353671 0.680276 1.838756
2025-08-24 0.071001 0.096754 0.136591 0.208715 0.353814 0.695352 1.973692
2025-08-31 0.069089 0.094571 0.134288 0.206963 0.355571 0.714955 2.141323
2025-09-07 0.068157 0.093878 0.134394 0.209647 0.367131 0.763196 2.480746